Our ML models analyze 7 major European leagues to identify mispriced odds. You get alerts when edge ≥5%.
Cumulative profit from all verified value bets since Jan 2026
We only bet when the numbers favor us. Here's how it works.
We only alert when edge ≥5%
💡 Most matches don't qualify. We average 3-5 value bets per day across 7 leagues. Selectivity is the point—we only bet when math favors us.
Focused expertise beats broad mediocrity
| Match | Market | Date | Odds | Score | Result | Profit | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese vs Lazio | OVER 2.5 | Sep 7 | 2.42 | 1-2 | WON | +1.42 | -9.31 |
| Getafe vs Celta Vigo | BTTS | Sep 7 | 2.31 | 1-1 | WON | +1.31 | -10.73 |
| Getafe vs Celta Vigo | OVER 2.5 | Sep 7 | 2.99 | 1-1 | LOST | -1.00 | -12.04 |
| Cagliari vs Lecce | BTTS | Sep 7 | 2.19 | 1-0 | LOST | -1.00 | -11.04 |
| Cagliari vs Lecce | OVER 2.5 | Sep 7 | 2.56 | 1-0 | LOST | -1.00 | -10.04 |
| Espanyol vs Sevilla | OVER 2.5 | Sep 6 | 2.47 | 1-1 | LOST | -1.00 | -9.04 |
| Deportivo Alaves vs Osasuna | BTTS | Sep 6 | 2.14 | 5-2 | WON | +1.14 | -8.04 |
| Deportivo Alaves vs Osasuna | OVER 2.5 | Sep 6 | 2.48 | 5-2 | WON | +1.48 | -9.18 |
EV betting means only placing bets where the true probability (calculated by our model) exceeds the implied probability from the odds. If our model says 55% chance but odds imply 50%, that's a +5% edge.
Win rate alone is meaningless. Our current 47.6% hit rate at average odds of 2.34 has generated +32.28 units across 307 bets. What matters is edge x odds — each winner returns significantly more than each loser costs.
Edge = Model Probability - (1 / Decimal Odds). We only alert when edge ≥5% for Over 2.5 and ≥7% for BTTS.
Pinnacle is the sharpest bookmaker with lowest margins. If we beat Pinnacle odds, we're beating the market. Other books often have even better odds.
We average 1.2 value bets per day across 7 leagues. 307 predictions published since January 2026. Most matches don't qualify — selectivity is the point.
No. We have mathematical edge, but edge ≠ guaranteed profit. Our model is currently +32.28 units, but you will have losing streaks. We recommend 1-2% bankroll per bet and a long-term mindset.
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